Lending conditions for the commercial real estate industry continued to worsen in the third quarter, according to an index by San Francisco based Banc Investment Group. The index is supported by data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, CB Richard Ellis, Grubb & Ellis and Reis.

The index dropped 10.6% to 63.67 in the third quarter from 71.24 in the second quarter, which was an 11.6% decline from the first quarter.

The BIG CRE Index is essentially a forward-looking measure of strength of Commercial Real Estate market conditions for community banks. Values are derived from third-party providers and data collected by Banc Investment Group’s consulting services group, which provides a loan pricing model for community banks nationwide.

In summary, conditions in the industrial sector fell 21.2% representing the largest fall, according to Banc Investment Group. Retail sector lending conditions dropped 7.7% while the the office sector dropped 7.1%. Multifamily fell 9%.

This data foretells a testing lending environment for the fourth quarter of 2009 and into 2010.

Retail

•    The retail sector of the index fell to 60.89 in the third quarter from 65.99 in the prior quarter, down 7.73%. Half as much as compared to the second quarter.
•    For neighborhood and community shopping malls, rents fell an average 0.7% during the quarter. Vacancy rates at neighborhood and community shopping malls exceeded 10%, while rates rose nearly 2.5% at regional malls. In both subsectors, the rate of deterioration is only about half that of the second quarter.
•    More than six in ten markets experienced a rise in vacancy rates, and more than 95% recorded negative rent growth.
•    Lending conditions benefitted from a modest improvement in retail sales (less gas and autos). Sales rose 0.6% in August and 0.4% in September.

Industrial

•    The industrial sector of the index fell to 43.97 in the third quarter from 55.84 in the prior quarter, which is a decrease of 21.27%. This was slightly tempered in comparison to the decline between the first and second quarter.
•    Vacancies rose again, up an average of 3.4% in the quarter.
•    With inventory levels sinking, industrial production has turned positive for every month in the third quarter.

Multifamily

•    The Multifamily sector of the index fell at an increased pace of 9.06% to 76.74 in the third quarter from 84.39 in the previous quarter.
•    Unemployment rose 30 basis points from June through September. The average vacancy rate increased 1.3% over the quarter to a 23-year high. The vacancy rate is expected to climb further, although at a slower pace. In tandem, rent growth dropped 30bps.
•    Across the U.S., about 65% of metropolitan locations reported a rise in vacancies, while more than five out of ten saw rent decline.

Office

•    The office sector of the index fell to 73.07 in the third quarter, down 7.19 % from 78.73 in the prior quarter.
•    The sector posted negative net absorption levels with vacancies rising nearly 4% over the third quarter, despite only half the amount of space coming online as the second quarter. Nearly 85% of Metropolitan areas experienced a rise in vacancies.
•    Year-to-date, average rents dropped 7%, with nine in 10 areas suffering rent declines.

Eureka! You’ve found a golden real estate deal. But what happens if your bank won’t finance the amount needed to secure the property, or won’t do it in the short time frame needed? Do you cry yourself to sleep or do you seek alternative options?

One such option is a hard money loan.  A hard money loan is an asset-backed loan where the borrower receives funds secured by the value of a parcel of real estate. In situations where money is needed quickly, going down the hard money route can be very successful. However, before you run out the door, blueprints in hand, to your local hard money lender there are a few key factors you need to keep in mind.

Cost
The rate charge by hard money lenders is typically far greater than banks, which is understandable given the short turn around time and looser lending criteria -the credit profile of the borrower is not as important as the loan is based on the value of the property that is put up as collateral. The rate is not dependent on the Bank Rate. It is instead more dependent on the real estate market and availability of hard money credit. Figures available for the last year give a range of hard money rates from the mid 12%–21% (points are often charged upfront.) In situations where the borrower is unable to meet payments, they can be charged a higher “Default Rate”. While it is to be expected that the rate you will be charged is relatively high, it is also wise to ensure that this rate is somewhere in the normal market standard range.

Amount
One needs to be aware that the amount of funds typically lent by a hard money lender are, on a loan to value basis, less than bank loan to value ratios. Usual ratios are around 60% LTV. This relatively low ratio provides additional security for the lender so that they can foreclose on the property in the event of non-payment by the borrower.

It’s also important to note that this LTV is calculated on the property’s current value rather than a future value. This is the amount that a lender could expect to earn from a quick sale of the property in the event of a loan default. Current market values can differ greatly to market value appraisals which assume a sale in which neither the buyer nor seller is in a rush to close.

Fees
Hard money lending often receives critical press for its fee structure, which commonly charges up front fees in order to work on the loan proposal. Concerns mainly stem from those lending companies in the industry who take upfront payments to investigate loans and refuse to lend on virtually all properties while keeping this fee. While it is typically a virtue of hard money lending which can’t be escaped, borrowers should be mindful of both the amount of fees charged and also the track record of the company to follow through on their initial loan estimates.

Timing
Hard money loans often can be closed within 30 to 45 business days if the loan is already in process with a bank. This rapid time frame can provide a lot of flexibility for sponsors. Using hard money loans can allow sponsors to tie up and close deals quickly typically providing an opportunity to negotiate favorable “all cash, quick closing” rates with pressured sellers or banks.

Conclusion
For many hard money borrowers the only alternative funding source is bringing in a new equity partner and giving away a percentage ownership in the property or company.  As a result, before agreeing to work with a hard-money lender sponsors typically ask themselves:
“Is it worth it for us to rent the capital for one, two or three years in order to achieve our business goals or should we bring in a new equity partner and permanently give away a part of our real estate or company.”

The answer is inevitably a very simple ROI analysis that shows that in the long run, if there is a large capital growth component to the project, the cost of the hard money loan is far less expensive than sharing the expected EBITDA growth over the next two to three years with partners.  On the other hand, having lived through a downturn in the market over the past few years, sponsors have to be very certain that their business plans will play out as expected so that the sale or refinance events take place to replace the expensive hard money loans.  Many developers had to turn over the keys to their hard money lenders because their market expectations did not play out as expected.  Caveat emptor – buyer beware.